tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11559629.post1904820114440599350..comments2023-09-26T05:58:13.261-05:00Comments on Chaotic Fred's Tired of Bullshit: Some scenarios to consider:Mandelbrot's Chaoshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16707481552099334302noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11559629.post-26072621876412778732008-09-29T17:05:00.000-05:002008-09-29T17:05:00.000-05:00Also, with these polls, I used to read and hear th...Also, with these polls, I used to read and hear that people whose only phone is a cell phone (i.e. maybe a couple million college students?) don't get included in the polls done by phone, that is, the phone polls rely on land lines. Is this true? <BR/><BR/>I like to think that with all the new Dems registered and with so many of them being young voters, a lot of them might not be getting Snavehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13763424943041003098noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11559629.post-68703204159944676732008-09-29T17:01:00.000-05:002008-09-29T17:01:00.000-05:00Scenarios 1, 2 and 3 are all acceptable in my book...Scenarios 1, 2 and 3 are all acceptable in my book. The Nightmare Scenario is unacceptable.<BR/><BR/>I think the way things are going, your Scenario 2 might be what we see. I like the idea of Obama making inroads into "the heartland" (whatever in hell that is, really) by getting CO and NM away from the reds. <BR/><BR/>If Obama keeps successfully hammering McCain on the economy and if he Snavehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13763424943041003098noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11559629.post-81653789803189972112008-09-25T20:48:00.000-05:002008-09-25T20:48:00.000-05:00dirty tricksDid I hear someone say Georgia?We just...dirty tricks<BR/><BR/>Did I hear someone say Georgia?<BR/><BR/>We just bought more machines that have been proven as tamperable and Georgia is the only state in the country using them.<BR/><BR/>Early voting is going on now and all early votes can be considered (IM educated O) tampered.<BR/><BR/>This is the year that I have considered not voting because Georgia needs international monitors and 1138https://www.blogger.com/profile/05236610360430502600noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11559629.post-59894351648946139522008-09-23T21:14:00.000-05:002008-09-23T21:14:00.000-05:00Actually, this is where Obama's ground game is so ...Actually, this is where Obama's ground game is so important. He already has lawyers in Michigan trying to prevent "caging" voters whose homes have been or are in the process of foreclosure. The dirty tricks will not go unchallenged.Mandelbrot's Chaoshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16707481552099334302noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11559629.post-72987887313336168032008-09-23T20:45:00.000-05:002008-09-23T20:45:00.000-05:00Thanks for the info - that makes sense. I know I s...Thanks for the info - that makes sense. I know I said let's stay optimistic, BUT -- I keep hearing about irregularities and outright deceptive practices to keep poor people from voting - they don't have forms available, or it's the wrong form, or their names have been taken off the rolls for nefarious reasons, etc. - I'm sure you've about it all. Bastards. I think there will be a humongous Candacehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10488301409338243686noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11559629.post-24305299046499255142008-09-22T19:32:00.000-05:002008-09-22T19:32:00.000-05:00PA is pulling away for Obama, and with Biden's tie...PA is pulling away for Obama, and with Biden's ties to the blue-collar areas of that state, while I'm not sure, I'm sure enough. Current polling him ahead in PA by 2.5%, and the Intrade prediction markets have 66.7% confidence that PA will go blue. I won't say it's a lock, but I'm confident. The states that worry me the most are Colorado and Minnesota, and Obama's lead is expanding in those two Mandelbrot's Chaoshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16707481552099334302noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11559629.post-11714198613248618662008-09-22T18:11:00.000-05:002008-09-22T18:11:00.000-05:00I notice you have PA in the blue in all scenarios....I notice you have PA in the blue in all scenarios. I thought PA was running close, but not all blue. Anyway, good work. Let's stay optimistic.Candacehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10488301409338243686noreply@blogger.com